Station 3 Blackjack Answers

Posted By admin On 25/03/22
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With construction completed in 2007, station 3 is the newest station. The need to increase fire protection coverage to rapidly expanding east side of the city established the need for a third station. Station 3 also serves as the primary administration station for fire and EMS services. The Fire Chief, Assistant Chief, Deputy Chief of EMS and Fire Marshal are located at this station.

Station 3 is also the location where the full time paramedics are housed. Built for 24 hour service, this station has a full day room, kitchen area and sleeping quarters that are separate from the administrative area. City Emergency Services such as the Office of Emergency Management, Ambulance Billing and Fire/EMS grant preparations are located here as well. The fire fighter’s memorial wall is located here and can be visited by the public 24 hours a day.

Personnel:


​​15 Firefighters
​1 Dual service, Fire/EMS

Equipment:

  • Station 2: Blackjack Adapted from Yates, Moore, Starnes “The Practice of Statistics” Resources Blackjack, also known as twenty-one, is one of the most popular casino card games in the world. Much of blackjack's popularity is due to the mix of chance with elements of skill, and the publicity that surrounds card counting (keeping track of which cards have been played since the last shuffle).
  • One direction where we can take our programming skills is game development. Here, we'll build a text based Blackjack engine that allows us to play against a dealer, who follows conventional house rules. The logic of blackjack is simple, but is sufficiently complex that we can gain valuable experience for making more complicated games later on. As we said, this engine has several.
Answers

P(you get “blackjack” face-up card is black Jack) = 51 4, but P(you get blackjack) = 663 4. Are the events disjoint? Both can happen at the same time. COINS, DICE, CARDS, AND TREES 1. P(odd number of heads and sum of 10 on dice after tossing) = 24 1 36 3 2 1 ⋅ = 2. P(even number of heads and 10 drawn from deck after.

-2009 model Pierce PUC1500 GPM Rescue/Engine.

-2007 Pierce 2000 GPM, 100 foot platform aerial truck.


Physical Location:

2211 East X

Deer Park TX 77536

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Introduction

Three Card Blackjack is an easy-to-play blackjack variant found in many Washington state casinos, especially the smaller ones. It made its Las Vegas debut on January 1, 2010, at the Monte Carlo.

Rules

  1. A single 52-card deck is used.
  2. Player makes an Ante wager and an optional Ace Plus side bet.
  3. Dealer gives the player and himself three cards. One dealer card is dealt face up, the other two face down. Player cards are dealt face down, which the player may look at.
  4. Hands will be scored according to the best blackjack hand that can be composed using any two, or all three, cards.
  5. After examining his cards, the player may fold or raise.
  6. If the player folds, he forfeits his Ante wager, but the Ace Plus wager, if made, will remain in play.
  7. If the player decides to raise, then he must make a Raise wager equal to his Ante wager.
  8. The dealer will turn over his two face-down cards.
  9. The dealer must have at least 17 points to open.
  10. If the dealer cannot open, and the player has a blackjack, then the player will be paid 1 to 1 on the Ante and the Raise will push.
  11. If the dealer cannot open, and the player does not have a blackjack, then the Ante and Raise will push.
  12. If the dealer can open, and the player has a blackjack, then the Ante and Raise shall pay 1 to 1, even if the dealer also has a blackjack.
  13. If the dealer can open, and the player does not have a blackjack, then the higher hand shall win. If the player has the higher hand, then the Ante and Raise shall pay even money. If the dealer has the higher hand, then the Ante and Raise shall lose. If there is a tie, then the Ante and Raise shall push.
  14. The Ace Plus side bet pays according only to the player's hand. The possible pay tables are listed towards the bottom of this page.

Ante Odds

The first table shows the probability of each number of points for the player or dealer hand.

Points Distribution

PointsCombinationsProbability
640.000181
7240.001086
8480.002172
9920.004163
101360.006154
112000.009050
122680.012127
133560.016109
145360.024253
157880.035656
161,1560.052308
172,0160.091222
182,6800.121267
193,3360.150950
206,3040.285249
211,5320.069321
BJ2,6240.118733
Total22,1001.000000

The next table shows the probability of each possible outcome on the Ante bet. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 3.42%. The player will raise 63.66% of the time, so the average player wager will be 1.6366 units. Thus the element of risk, the ratio of expected player loss to the average wager, is 2.09%.

Ante Return Table

EventPaysCombinationsProbabilityReturn
Player wins2341,489,6800.2795630.559127
Dealer doesn't open and player has blackjack125,599,6480.0209570.020957
Push0257,354,1440.2106850.000000
Player folds-1443,840,9280.363354-0.363354
Dealer wins-2153,226,8000.125440-0.250881
Total1,221,511,2001.000000-0.034151

The next table shows the expected value according to the player's hand and the dealer's up card. The player should fold on an expected value of less than -1. Cells have been conveniently colored red when the odds favor folding, and green for raising.

Expected Return According to Player Total and Dealer Up CardExpand

Player2345678910A
6-1.198582-1.400709-1.570922-1.691489-1.647163-1.750000-1.835106-1.900709-1.964539-1.939716
7-1.198582-1.393617-1.542553-1.684397-1.640071-1.744681-1.828014-1.893617-1.957447-1.934397
8-1.195745-1.372340-1.523303-1.677305-1.632979-1.738475-1.820922-1.887411-1.951241-1.930851
9-1.186613-1.358447-1.512691-1.670213-1.626349-1.732347-1.814292-1.881129-1.947117-1.925686
10-1.172716-1.346336-1.501082-1.663475-1.624086-1.727576-1.808824-1.877451-1.943680-1.921464
11-1.160938-1.333718-1.491671-1.657144-1.622263-1.723569-1.805745-1.875177-1.941064-1.918085
12-1.150270-1.323772-1.482011-1.650887-1.617612-1.720871-1.803016-1.872658-1.938340-1.915423
13-1.137891-1.311755-1.472290-1.643099-1.613256-1.717045-1.799437-1.868804-1.936011-1.913337
14-1.127030-1.304801-1.467954-1.637029-1.606136-1.712907-1.796782-1.867458-1.935575-1.914244
15-1.117876-1.296842-1.458041-1.630912-1.601026-1.708667-1.793447-1.864429-1.933488-1.912748
16-1.098594-1.274028-1.439573-1.618587-1.595245-1.700223-1.784653-1.857419-1.928355-1.907273
17-0.902922-1.073912-1.226339-1.268578-1.326859-1.321114-1.611843-1.711354-1.819351-1.816612
18-0.559604-0.713710-0.732127-0.591323-0.734567-0.644870-0.884957-1.402702-1.546080-1.575111
19-0.238346-0.251290-0.1404740.046776-0.080634-0.0178750.023597-0.468811-1.139250-1.198903
200.2640710.4063650.5356280.7198560.6427740.7132530.7828690.7883700.116521-0.657262
210.7335640.9026611.0559771.2349921.1982581.2972471.3696861.4506411.204872-0.361228
BJ1.5110821.6019611.6876551.7801861.7712661.8281911.8761971.9174651.9578631.960106

Ace Plus Odds

Station 3 Blackjack Answers Questions

The next table shows the return for the most common pay table for the Ace Plus side bet, known as 'pay table 2.' An A represents an ace, a T any 10-point card, and x a 2-9 card. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 2.75%, which for a side bet isn't bad.

Ante Return Table for Pay Table 2

EventPaysCombinationsProbabilityReturn
AAA10040.0001810.018100
AAT25960.0043440.108597
AAx151920.0086880.130317
ATT64800.0217190.130317
ATx32,0480.0926700.278009
Axx11,9840.0897740.089774
No aces-117,2960.782624-0.782624
Total22,1001.000000-0.027511

The next table shows all six pay tables available from the game maker and the house edge for each.

Ante Return Table

HandP.T. 1P.T. 2P.T. 3P.T. 4P.T. 5P.T. 6
AAA100100100100100100
AAT202530254025
AAx101512102510
ATT566766
Atx333313
Axx211111
House Edge2.46%2.75%3.19%4.92%6.08%7.10%

Strategy

As shown in the table above, the player should raise according to his best hand as follows:

  • 16 or less: Never
  • 17: Dealer 2
  • 18: Dealer 2-8
  • 19: Dealer 2-9
  • 20-BJ: Always

Station 3 Blackjack Answers Questions And Answers

For purposes of comparing one bet to the other, I recommend using the element of risk. For the Ace Plus side bet, the element of risk is the same as the house edge. The element of risk on the Ante bet is 2.09%, which is lower than any pay table on the Ace Plus. So, if you want to lose as little as possible, then I recommend betting the Ante only.

Blackjack With 21+3

Be warned, if you don't bet something on the Ace Plus, it never fails that the dealer and other players will falsely tell you that the side bets are 'where the money is.' If you don't bet the Ace Plus, and get three aces, I can guarantee you that you'll really get lectured. With this game, and any casino game, follow such advice at your own peril.

Methodology

Blackjack

This analysis was based on a combinatorial program in C++. Thus, the results can be considered exactly correct.

Acknowledgements

I would like to thank gaming mathematician Eliot Jacobson for answering my many questions about the game and confirming and analysis.


Written by:Michael Shackleford